Analysis by PMOI/MEK
Iran, April 14, 2021—The siege of crises is tightening for the Iranian regime. In recent days, various domestic and international developments have plunged the regime into deeper problems.
On Monday, April 12, 190 Members of the Majlis (Parliament) signed a report named “Rouhani’s refusal” which refers to 13 cases of regime president Hassan Rouhani’s defiance of parliamentary approvals. According to the regime’s constitution, the Majlis can refer the president’s defiance to the judiciary.
Therefore, while the regime’s sham presidential election, scheduled for June, is fast approaching, internal power conflicts between various factions are increasing.
Similarly, the faction of the regime’s supreme leader Ali Khamenei is blaming Rouhani for the fourth Covid-19 peak, as the head of the Coronavirus Task Force Committee. Also, the regime’s Judiciary Chief Ebrahim Raisi threatened Rouhani with regard to the coronavirus crisis. “Despite warnings, decisions are not carried out, and accountability must be done,” Raisi said on Monday, April 12.
It is worth reminding that both Khamenei and Rouhani unanimously followed a criminal policy of “large scale human casualties” and used the Covid-19 as a tool to prevent social protests. Khamenei previously said the “Covid-19 is a blessing.”
But as the presidential election is approaching Khamenei is seeking to tighten his grip on power and as a result, he is showing signs of putting away the so-called “reformist” farce.
On the other side, the Vienna nuclear talks have not only solved no issues but have added to regime’s problems. Involved in countless economic, social, and economic crisis, the regime has ended up in a deadlock. It is in desperate need of sanctions relief. And yet it does not want to back down on any of its illicit behaviors because it would spell its doom.
On Tuesday, 204 MPs called in a joint statement “not to rush” and condition any deal to a full sanctions relief.
Amid nuclear negotiations, the explosions at the Natanz nuclear facilities showed the regime’s hollow claims of “mechanical tests of its newest advanced nuclear centrifuge.”
This has always been the regime’s tactic to try to show strength while it is weak and vulnerable. Also, according to Iran’s state-run media, the explosion may have been the work of an “infiltrator.” The New York Times wrote, “the damage said it had been caused by a large explosion that completely destroyed the independent — and heavily protected — internal power system that supplies the underground centrifuges that enrich uranium.”
The recent incident at Natanz that is less than a year after the previous explosion at an Iranian nuclear site, shows a security gap with even the most sensitive centers.
On the other hand, while these critical domestic and international circumstances continue, the clerical regime is confronted with a powder keg society. In the past two years, an outraged and unsatisfied society has clearly expressed its desire for regime change in several rounds of nationwide uprisings. According to various regime officials, after a year of that regime’s inhuman Covid-19 policies have slaughtered 250,000 Iranians, and people are struggling with skyrocketing prices, harsh poverty, inflations, and a broken economy, the explosive situation of the society is much more serious than in November 2019.
Any spark can cause widespread anti-regime protests. As the Maryam Rajavi, the president-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), said, “Despite domestic repression, the prospects are bright. Let there be no doubt that the era of the mullahs’ regime has come to an end. Iranians are determined to establish a democratic government in Iran. And this outcome will be realized.”